AI Risk Management · Topic 1 of 4

AI Risk Assessment, Impact Assessment and Treatment

Assessing AI risk within enterprise risk management: risk tiers, impact assessments, thresholds, treatment, residual risk and reassessment triggers.

  • 6 min
  • Includes a diagram
In a nutshell
  • AI risk is assessed inside enterprise risk management with the same method and register.
  • Tier use cases so effort matches risk.
  • Impact assessments look at effects on people and are done before deployment.

What it is

AI risk assessment applies the familiar risk process to AI systems: identify what could go wrong, judge likelihood and impact, compare the result with the organization's appetite, and decide on treatment. What changes is the source of risk. AI systems learn from data, behave probabilistically, can act autonomously and can harm people who are not users.

AI impact assessment looks outward: who could be affected by the AI system and how. Thresholds turn appetite into measurable limits, and treatment brings risk back within them.

Context and use caseImpact assessmentRisk analysisCompare with thresholdsTreatMonitor and reassess

How it works

What makes AI risk different

FactorWhy it raises risk
Data dependenceBiased, poisoned or low-quality data produces flawed models
OpacityHard to explain why a model gave an output
Probabilistic behaviourThe same input can give different outputs; errors are not always reproducible
AutonomyAgents that act without human review magnify errors
ScaleOne flawed model affects every decision it makes
DriftPerformance degrades as the world changes
Third-party dependenceModels, data and services come from outside
New attack techniquesPrompt injection, poisoning, model extraction

Fitting AI into enterprise risk

AI risk is not a separate silo. It is assessed with the organization's enterprise risk management method so it can be compared, aggregated and reported with other risks.

AI risks appear in the enterprise risk register with owners, ratings and treatment decisions. ISO/IEC 23894 gives guidance on adapting the ISO 31000 process for this, and the NIST AI RMF Map and Measure functions support the same work.

The security manager also looks at aggregate risk. Twenty low-risk uses of the same external model add up to a concentration risk if that model fails or is compromised.

Risk tiering of use cases

Most organizations tier AI use cases so effort matches risk. Tiering considers the decision's effect on people, safety, legal classification, data sensitivity, autonomy, scale and whether the output is customer-facing. Higher tiers require deeper assessment, more testing, stronger human oversight and committee approval.

AI impact assessments

AssessmentFocus
AI system impact assessmentEffects on individuals, groups and society: fairness, safety, rights, well-being; required within ISO/IEC 42001, with guidance in ISO/IEC 42005
Data protection impact assessment (DPIA)Risks to individuals from processing personal data, under GDPR and similar laws
Fundamental rights impact assessmentRequired of certain deployers of high-risk AI under the EU AI Act

These overlap, so many organizations run one combined assessment that meets each requirement. Impact assessments are done before deployment and repeated when the system or its use changes.

Thresholds

Risk appetite is a statement; thresholds make it testable. Examples:

  • Minimum accuracy or maximum error rate for the intended use.
  • Maximum difference in outcomes between groups for a fairness metric.
  • Maximum rate of harmful or policy-violating outputs in red team evaluation.
  • Limits on autonomy, such as no unreviewed actions above a monetary value.
  • No use of restricted data in prompts to external models.

Thresholds are agreed with the business owner, approved within governance, and checked both at release and during operation.

Treatment options

AI risk treatment: an assessed risk compared with the threshold is mitigated with guardrails, human review or better data, transferred or shared through contracts or insurance, avoided by dropping the use case, or accepted by the owner within appetite; the residual risk is accepted or escalated.

OptionAI example
MitigateAdd guardrails, human review, permission-aware retrieval, retraining with better data
Transfer or shareContract terms with vendors, AI liability insurance; accountability stays with the organization
AvoidDo not deploy the use case, or remove a high-risk feature
AcceptBusiness owner accepts residual risk within appetite, documented and reviewed

Residual risk is what remains after treatment. It is accepted by the risk owner, and if it exceeds appetite it is escalated to senior management.

When to reassess

AI risk changes faster than most risk. Triggers for reassessment include a new model version from a vendor, retraining, a new data source, a change in intended use or user group, drift beyond threshold, a new attack technique, new regulation, a vendor change, an incident, and audit findings. Monitoring these internal and external factors is part of the risk process, not an extra.

A worked example

HR wants to use a model to rank job applicants. The security manager facilitates an impact assessment with HR, legal and privacy. The use is high-risk under the EU AI Act and processes personal data, so a combined impact assessment and DPIA are completed.

Thresholds are set for selection-rate differences between groups and for accuracy. Testing shows the model exceeds the fairness threshold.

The treatment is retraining with rebalanced data, plus mandatory recruiter review of every ranking. HR, as risk owner, accepts the documented residual risk.

How the exam asks about this

  • "What should be done FIRST before deploying an AI system that makes decisions about people?" An impact assessment.
  • "A vendor releases a new version of the model the organization uses. What should the security manager do?" Reassess the risk and retest against thresholds before adopting it.
  • "Who should accept residual AI risk?" The business owner of the AI use case, within approved appetite.

What to remember for the exam

  • AI risk is assessed inside enterprise risk management with the same method and register.
  • Tier use cases so effort matches risk.
  • Impact assessments look at effects on people and are done before deployment.
  • Thresholds make risk appetite measurable for AI.
  • Model updates, new data, drift, new threats and new laws all trigger reassessment.
Watch out

Transferring AI risk to a vendor or insurer does not transfer accountability. The organization still answers for harm its AI causes.

Common mistakes

Assessing once at launch. AI changes through retraining, vendor updates and drift, so risk must be reassessed when triggers occur.

Assessing each use case in isolation. Many systems can depend on one model or provider, creating concentration risk that only an aggregate view shows.

Setting thresholds after testing. Thresholds agreed after seeing results tend to fit the results. Set them first.

Check yourself

  • What is the purpose of an AI impact assessment?

    To identify how an AI system could affect individuals, groups and society, such as fairness, safety and rights, before it is deployed.

  • Give three triggers for reassessing AI risk.

    Any three of a new model version, retraining, a new data source, a change in use, drift, a new threat, new regulation, a vendor change or an incident.

  • Why set measurable thresholds for AI risk?

    They make risk appetite testable, so models can be checked against clear limits at release and during operation.

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